Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 1a
Intro
All Assumptions and Speculation in
prior entry used "as is" -- completely.
This scenario is also the partial basis for another dimension
of statistical population analysis, namely:
Male / Female Balance.
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Numbers
311 (just before the Breakaway event)
- 4 (pilots seen killed in Breakaway explosion)
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307 (end of "Breakaway")
-29 (more "verifiable losses" in Y1 before TOA)
+ 1 (Jackie's birth)
+23 (speculation: more births after Jackie)
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302 (speculation: at start of TOA)
- 2 (Luke and Anna desert to Arkadia)
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300 (at end of TOA)
- 3 (loss of Paul, Victor, Kano)
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297 (quoted at start of Y2 / "The Metamorph")
- 2 (killed on Psychon)
- 1 (killed on Eagle destroyed by Mentor)
+ 1 (Maya welcomed as a new Alphan)
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295 (end of "The Metamorph")
- 3 (deaths after Psychon and before Entra)
+ 7 (speculation: more births during this time?)
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299
- 1 (Blake Maine on Entra in "Devil's Planet")
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298 (the number quoted later in "Devil's Planet")
- 8 (after "Devil's Planet")
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290 (after Dorcons, assuming no further births)
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Subtotals
- -35 lost during Y1
- +24 births during Y1
- - 3 lost between Y1 and Y2
- + 1 addition from outside during Y2
- -15 lost during Y2
- + 7 births during Y2 (before Entra)
Totals
- -53 lost (by end of Y2) -- 17.04% of original population
- +31 births (before Entra) -- 1 per 10.03 of original population
- + 1 addition from outside
- net decline of 21 (from 311 to 290) -- 6.75%