Population: Male / Female Balance
Intro
Based on the
Verifiable Personnel Losses,
quite a few more men than women were lost.
The next few entries posit some scenarios regarding
the male-female balance over the Y1+Y2 timeframe
(i.e. only up to 2409 DAB).
Some of the Assumptions are from
Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 1a,
some are simplifying assumptions solely for these
male-female scenarios (i.e. variation scenarios
can be created by altering or dropping those assumptions).
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Assumptions
- The Scenarios listed below all assume
Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 1a,
including counting:
311 as the starting population;
31 births as gains;
Paul Morrow,
Victor Bergman, and
David Kano as losses;
Maya as a gain.
- Births are in near balance among boys and girls.
- No twins among the 31 children.
(Note: twins occur about once in every 65 births)
- No two-time mothers or fathers in Y1+Y2 timeframe.
(Given citations in both seasons about limited resources,
this is not as unlikely as it seems, at least on the female side.
The male side is harder to judge due to possible Casanova types.)
- No children between "Devil's Planet" (2306 DAB)
and "The Dorcons" (2409 DAB).
This is assumed only because no population number
is listed after the former episode,
so there is nothing on which to base further birth numbers.
That is, there could have been births in this timeframe,
but none are assumed here.
Details
- Where a total (population, births, etc.) is odd rather than even,
or where the sex is unknown in the case of some losses,
the Editor will choose particular numbers for sake of presenting
some clear scenarios -- nothing more is intended.
- In one specific case of the prior point,
namely of the 7 losses where the sex is not known,
the Editor thinks it is most likely that
most or all of them are men, probably the latter,
but has chosen to make that be 6 men and 1 woman.
Scenarios
- Early Balance:
a near balance among
adult men and women among the 311
(per first Assumption) just prior to
the Breakaway.
- Balance Shift:
More total males than females at start,
more total females than males at end.
- Late Balance:
a balance among all at the end of Y2.
See Also