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Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 4b

Intro

Same as in prior entry, except there is only one birth. This could be called a "death march" scenario, for reasons that become rather obvious below. Even given the altered start point as an assumption, this scenario fails at multiple points.

Numbers

300 (just before the Breakaway event)
- 4 (pilots seen killed in Breakaway explosion)
===
296 (end of "Breakaway")
-29 (more "verifiable losses" in Y1 before TOA)
+ 1 (Jackie's birth)
===
268 (scenario fails at start of TOA -- see Notes)
- 2 (Luke and Anna desert to Arkadia)
===
266 (at end of TOA)
- 3 (loss of Paul, Victor, Kano)
===
263 (scenario fails at start of "Metamorph" -- see Notes)
- 2 (killed on Psychon)
- 1 (killed on Eagle destroyed by Mentor)
+ 1 (Maya welcomed as a new Alphan)
===
261 (end of "The Metamorph")
- 3 (deaths after Psychon and before Entra)
===
258
- 1 (Blake Maine on Entra in "Devil's Planet")
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257 (scenario fails against "Devil's Planet")
- 8 (after "Devil's Planet")
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249 (after Dorcons, assuming no further births)

Subtotals

Totals