Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 4b
Intro
Same as in
prior entry,
except there is only one birth.
This could be called a "death march" scenario,
for reasons that become rather obvious below.
Even given the altered start point as an assumption,
this scenario fails at multiple points.
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Numbers
300 (just before the Breakaway event)
- 4 (pilots seen killed in Breakaway explosion)
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296 (end of "Breakaway")
-29 (more "verifiable losses" in Y1 before TOA)
+ 1 (Jackie's birth)
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268 (scenario fails at start of TOA -- see Notes)
- 2 (Luke and Anna desert to Arkadia)
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266 (at end of TOA)
- 3 (loss of Paul, Victor, Kano)
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263 (scenario fails at start of "Metamorph" -- see Notes)
- 2 (killed on Psychon)
- 1 (killed on Eagle destroyed by Mentor)
+ 1 (Maya welcomed as a new Alphan)
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261 (end of "The Metamorph")
- 3 (deaths after Psychon and before Entra)
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258
- 1 (Blake Maine on Entra in "Devil's Planet")
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257 (scenario fails against "Devil's Planet")
- 8 (after "Devil's Planet")
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249 (after Dorcons, assuming no further births)
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Subtotals
- -35 lost during Y1 -- 11.67% of original population
- + 1 births during Y1
- - 3 lost between Y1 and Y2
- + 1 addition from outside during Y2
- -15 lost during Y2
Totals
- -53 lost (by end of Y2) -- 17.67% of original population
- + 1 birth -- 1 per 311.00 of original population
- + 1 addition from outside
- net decline of 51 (from 311 to 260) -- 17.00% of original population