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Population Statistical Speculation Scenario 5a

Intro

All Assumptions and Speculation in Population Statistical Speculation used, except there is only one birth. This could be called a "death march" scenario, for reasons that become rather obvious below. This scenario fails at several points.

Numbers

311 (just before the Breakaway event)
- 4 (pilots seen killed in Breakaway explosion)
===
307 (end of "Breakaway")
-29 (more "verifiable losses" in Y1 before TOA)
+ 1 (Jackie's birth)
===
279 (scenario fails at start of TOA -- see Notes)
- 2 (Luke and Anna desert to Arkadia)
===
277 (at end of TOA)
- 3 (loss of Paul, Victor, Kano)
===
274 (scenario fails at start of "Metamorph" -- see Notes)
- 2 (killed on Psychon)
- 1 (killed on Eagle destroyed by Mentor)
+ 1 (Maya welcomed as a new Alphan)
===
272 (end of "The Metamorph")
- 3 (deaths after Psychon and before Entra)
===
269
- 1 (Blake Maine on Entra in "Devil's Planet")
===
268 (scenario fails against "Devil's Planet")
- 8 (after "Devil's Planet")
===
260 (after Dorcons, assuming no further births)

Subtotals

Totals